Bank of Japan’s Ueda says US tariffs could have big impact on global trade.

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Japan Prepares for Potential Impact of US Tariffs

BOJ Governor Warns of Significant Trade Impact

Ahead of the latest levies, Japan’s authorities have been rushing to prepare for potential impacts. Bank of Japan (BOJ) governor Kazuo Ueda said US tariffs could have a significant impact on trade activity in affected nations, although for now the overall picture of the policies remains unclear ahead of an official announcement later in the global day.

Uncertainty Surrounds Tariff Details

Ueda’s first public comments since US President Donald Trump officially unveiled a 25 per cent auto tariff last week suggest he continues to monitor developments while refraining from offering any hints as to whether he’s become more or less cautious over the BOJ’s rate hike path. Details from Trump regarding so-called reciprocal tariffs on US trading partners are expected to be unveiled at a time that corresponds to the early hours of Thursday in Tokyo.

Preparations Underway

"It’s unfortunate but uncertainties are high so we will be closely watching developments of policies to grasp their economic impacts more precisely," Ueda said. Ahead of the latest levies, Japan’s authorities have been rushing to prepare for potential impacts. Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba on Tuesday introduced support measures for businesses that include the establishment of 1,000 consultation booths across the nation.

Economic Outlook Remains Robust

Japan’s economy has so far developed in line with the BOJ’s economic outlook. The latest quarterly Tankan survey published on Tuesday showed that business confidence remains relatively robust even with US levies clouding the outlook.

Rate Hike Expectations

In a Bloomberg survey last month, a majority of economists forecast authorities will next lift the benchmark rate in June or July. After a barrage of reports related to US tariffs, traders now see the chance of a rate hike at the next meeting ending May 1 at around 16 per cent as at Wednesday, plunging from around 26 per cent a week ago.

Conclusion

As the world waits with bated breath for the official announcement of the US tariffs, Japan is taking steps to prepare for the potential impact. The BOJ governor’s warning of significant trade impact is a sobering reminder of the challenges ahead. As the economy slows, it remains to be seen how the BOJ will respond to the changing landscape.

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the impact of US tariffs on trade activity?
A: US tariffs could have a significant impact on trade activity in affected nations.

Q: When will the tariff details be announced?
A: Details from Trump regarding so-called reciprocal tariffs on US trading partners are expected to be unveiled at a time that corresponds to the early hours of Thursday in Tokyo.

Q: What is the current state of the Japanese economy?
A: Japan’s economy has so far developed in line with the BOJ’s economic outlook, with business confidence remaining relatively robust.

Q: When is the next rate hike expected?
A: A majority of economists forecast authorities will next lift the benchmark rate in June or July.

Angela Lee
Angela Lee
Director of Research

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